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FTMatchday 37

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1492

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoWLWLL
Celta VigoLLWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo35+347
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

  • Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-08-30
  • Celta Vigo 2–0 Athletic Bilbao2025-12-14

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 17 May 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWLL), while Celta Vigo have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 1, Celta Vigo won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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