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FTMatchday 27

Athletic Bilbao vs Barcelona: Prediction

📍 San Mamés Barria

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Athletic BilbaoBarcelona
  1. Unai Gómezon10'
  2. 46'Marc Bernalon
  3. Alejandro Regoyellow card50'
  4. 57'Pau Cubarsíyellow card
  5. 62'Ferran Torreson
  6. 62'Marcus Rashfordon
  7. 62'Dani Olmoon
  8. 68'Lamine Yamalassist Pedri
  9. Iñaki Williamson69'
  10. Alejandro Regoon69'
  11. Mikel Jauregizaron74'
  12. 78'Marc Casadóon
  13. Dani Vivianyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Athletic BilbaoBarcelona
  • 30%Possession70%
  • 0.85Expected goals (xG)0.40
  • 10Shots7
  • 3Shots on target2
  • 2Corners4
  • 11Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 7Offsides4
  • 2Saves3
  • 262Passes658

Line-ups

Athletic Bilbao

  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 9Iñaki Williams
  • 7Álex Berenguer
  • 1Unai Simón
  • 2Andoni Gorosabel
  • 3Dani Vivian
  • 20Unai Gómez
  • 18Mikel Jauregizar
  • 19Adama Boiro
  • 30Alejandro Rego

Barcelona

  • 2João Cancelo
  • 14Marcus Rashford
  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 24Eric García
  • 13Joan García
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 18Gerard Martín
  • 17Marc Casadó
  • 5Pau Cubarsí
  • 22Marc Bernal

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1483 – 1540

Recent form

Athletic BilbaoLDWWW
BarcelonaWWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona35+5185
2Athletic Bilbao35-1241

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Athletic Bilbao host Barcelona in the La Liga on 7 March 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 13th on 41 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Athletic Bilbao have won 3 of their last 5 (LDWWW), while Barcelona have won 4 of 5 (WWWLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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