Athletic Bilbao vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
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Athletic BilbaoLDLLW
Atlético MadridWWLDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlético Madrid | 10 | +12 | 25 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | +5 | 12 |
Head to head
- Atlético Madrid 3–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-04-25
- Athletic Bilbao 1–0 Atlético Madrid2025-12-06
Match preview
Athletic Bilbao host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 5 September 2026. Athletic Bilbao sit 7th on 12 points and Atlético Madrid are 2nd on 25. Athletic Bilbao have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLLW), while Atlético Madrid have won 3 of 5 (WWLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Athletic Bilbao won 1, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
