FTMatchday 33

Aston Villa vs Sunderland: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Aston Villa4

Sunderland3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

7 goals

Aston VillaSunderland

Ollie Watkinsassist John McGinn2'
9'Christopher Riggassist Noah Sadiki
Ollie Watkinsassist Ian Maatsen36'
Morgan Rogersassist Ollie Watkins46'
63'Christopher Riggon
63'Omar Aldereteon
63'Reinildo Mandavaon
66'Noah Sadikiyellow card
Ian Maatsenon70'
Ross Barkleyon70'
Ollie Watkinson80'
John McGinnon80'
84'Brian Brobbeyon
86'Trai Hume
87'Wilson Isidorassist Enzo Le Fée
Amadou Onanayellow card90'
90'Daniel Ballardyellow card
90'Nordi Mukieleyellow card
Tammy Abrahamassist Lucas Digne90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaSunderland

50%Possession50%
2.67Expected goals (xG)1.76
15Shots10
7Shots on target7
4Corners5
11Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
0Offsides3
4Saves3
396Passes399

Line-ups

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
6Ross Barkley
5Tyrone Mings
8Youri Tielemans
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
24Amadou Onana
27Morgan Rogers
22Ian Maatsen

Sunderland

13Luke O'Nien
34Granit Xhaka
20Nordi Mukiele
15Omar Alderete
9Brian Brobbey
17Reinildo Mandava
28Enzo Le Fée
19Habib Diarra
11Christopher Rigg
27Noah Sadiki
22Robin Roefs

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1498

Recent form

Aston VillaLLLWD

SunderlandDWLWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Sunderland	38	-6	54

Head to head

Sunderland 1–1 Aston Villa2025-09-21

Match preview

Aston Villa host Sunderland in the Premier League on 19 April 2026. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Sunderland are 7th on 54. Aston Villa have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWD), while Sunderland have won 3 of 5 (DWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Sunderland won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.