Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction
Aston Villa
Paris Saint-GermainTipster consensus
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Head to head
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Match preview
Aston Villa host Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League on 8 December 2026. Aston Villa sit 7th on 9 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 6th on 9. Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Aston Villa 41%, the draw 24% and Paris Saint-Germain 35%, so Aston Villa are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.