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Kick-off · Matchday 6

Aston Villa vs Paris Saint-Germain: Prediction

Aston Villa
41%Home win
Paris Saint-Germain

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.58 – 1.42
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1578

Recent form

Aston VillaWWWWD
Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Aston Villa host Paris Saint-Germain in the UEFA Champions League on 8 December 2026. Aston Villa sit 7th on 9 points and Paris Saint-Germain are 6th on 9. Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Paris Saint-Germain have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Aston Villa 41%, the draw 24% and Paris Saint-Germain 35%, so Aston Villa are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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