FTMatchday 20

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Aston Villa3

Nottingham Forest1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

Ollie Watkinsassist Morgan Rogers45'
John McGinnassist Matty Cash49'
61'Morgan Gibbs-Whiteassist Dilane Bakwa
65'Dilane Bakwayellow card
Ian Maatsenon69'
Emiliano Buendiaon69'
69'Dilane Bakwaon
69'Ola Ainaon
John McGinnassist Youri Tielemans73'
78'Johnon
John McGinnon83'
Ollie Watkinson83'
84'Nicolás Domínguezon
84'Igor Jesuson
89'James McAteeyellow card
Lamare Bogardeyellow card90'
Matty Cashon90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaNottingham Forest

73%Possession27%
2Expected goals (xG)1
11Shots10
4Shots on target5
4Corners4
10Fouls20
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides4
4Saves1
639Passes233

Line-ups

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
10Emiliano Buendia
8Youri Tielemans
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
3Victor Lindelof
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
44Boubacar Kamara
27Morgan Rogers
22Ian Maatsen

Nottingham Forest

34Ola Aina
31Nikola Milenković
3Neco Williams
16Nicolás Domínguez
10Morgan Gibbs-White
8Elliott Anderson
29Dilane Bakwa
13John
21Omari Hutchinson
5Murillo
19Igor Jesus

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1492

Recent form

Aston VillaWWWWL

Nottingham ForestLWLLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Nottingham Forest	38	-3	44

Head to head

Aston Villa 1–2 Nottingham Forest2026-09-12
Nottingham Forest 1–1 Aston Villa2026-04-12

Match preview

Aston Villa host Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on 3 January 2026. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Nottingham Forest are 16th on 44. Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), while Nottingham Forest have won 1 of 5 (LWLLL). In their last 2 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Nottingham Forest won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.