Kick-off · Sat, 15 May, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 36
Aston Villa vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Aston Villa51%Home win
Newcastle United51% Home win24% Draw25% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.13
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1529
Recent form
Aston VillaDWWWWNewcastle UnitedLWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa2026-10-17
- Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa2026-01-25
- Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United2025-08-16
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
