FTMatchday 9

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Aston Villa1

Manchester City0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Aston VillaManchester City

Matty Cashassist Emiliano Buendia19'
Emiliano Buendiaon29'
40'Savinhoyellow card
54'Tijjani Reijndersyellow card
61'Oscar Bobbon
61'John Stoneson
61'Bernardo Silvaon
64'Nico Gonzálezyellow card
John McGinnon74'
76'Tijjani Reijnderson
80'Phil Fodenyellow card
Boubacar Kamarayellow card81'
84'Savinhoon
Lucas Digneon86'
Ollie Watkinson86'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaManchester City

47%Possession53%
1Expected goals (xG)1
9Shots18
3Shots on target4
5Corners6
8Fouls16
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
1Offsides3
3Saves2
441Passes490

Line-ups

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
10Emiliano Buendia
12Lucas Digne
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
14Pau Torres
44Boubacar Kamara
24Amadou Onana
27Morgan Rogers

Manchester City

5John Stones
20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
4Tijjani Reijnders
24Joško Gvardiol
27Matheus Nunes
26Savinho
52Oscar Bobb

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1535

Recent form

Aston VillaDDWWW

Manchester CityWDWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	38	+42	78
2	Aston Villa	38	+7	65

Head to head

Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester City2026-10-24
Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa2026-05-24

Match preview

Aston Villa host Manchester City in the Premier League on 26 October 2025. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 (DDWWW), while Manchester City have won 4 of 5 (WDWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Aston Villa won 2, Manchester City won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.