FTMatchday 37

Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Aston Villa4

Liverpool2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals

Aston VillaLiverpool

Matty Cashyellow card39'
Morgan Rogersassist Lucas Digne42'
Ollie Watkinsyellow card45'
Victor Lindelöfon46'
52'Virgil van Dijkassist Dominik Szoboszlai
Ollie Watkinsassist Morgan Rogers57'
62'Joe Gomezyellow card
John McGinnyellow card66'
66'Joe Gomezon
66'Ryan Gravenberchon
Ollie Watkins73'
74'Cody Gakpoon
Emiliano Buendiaon85'
John McGinnassist Ollie Watkins89'
Youri Tielemanson90'
John McGinnon90'
90'Virgil van Dijkassist Dominik Szoboszlai

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaLiverpool

45%Possession55%
1.91Expected goals (xG)1.52
14Shots15
9Shots on target5
4Corners9
12Fouls9
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Offsides3
3Saves5
359Passes430

Line-ups

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
10Emiliano Buendia
12Lucas Digne
8Youri Tielemans
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
3Victor Lindelöf
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
14Pau Torres
27Morgan Rogers

Liverpool

4Virgil van Dijk
2Joe Gomez
5Ibrahima Konaté
18Cody Gakpo
17Curtis Jones
10Alexis Mac Allister
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
25Giorgi Mamardashvili
6Milos Kerkez
73Rio Ngumoha

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1488

Recent form

Aston VillaDWLLD

LiverpoolWWWLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Liverpool	38	+10	60

Head to head

Liverpool 2–0 Aston Villa2025-11-01

Match preview

Aston Villa host Liverpool in the Premier League on 15 May 2026. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Aston Villa have won 1 of their last 5 (DWLLD), while Liverpool have won 3 of 5 (WWWLD). In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Liverpool won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.