Aston Villa vs Leeds United: Prediction
📍 Villa Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 31'⚽Anton Stach
- 46'⇄Gabriel Gudmundssonon
- ⇄Leon Baileyon61'
- ⇄Amadou Onanaon61'
- 62'Jaka Bijolyellow card
- 69'Karl Darlowyellow card
- Emiliano Buendiayellow card73'
- 73'⇄Brenden Aaronsonon
- ⇄Emiliano Buendiaon75'
- 79'Jayden Bogleyellow card
- 83'⇄Anton Stachon
- ⇄Douglas Luizon87'
- ⇄Matty Cashon87'
- ⚽Tammy Abraham88'
- 90'Ilia Gruevyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 67%Possession33%
- 1.39Expected goals (xG)1.35
- 16Shots14
- 4Shots on target4
- 7Corners2
- 11Fouls15
- 1Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides5
- 3Saves3
- 510Passes253
Line-ups
Aston Villa
- 23Emiliano Martinez
- 5Tyrone Mings
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 21Douglas Luiz
- 2Matty Cash
- 4Ezri Konsa
- 31Leon Bailey
- 24Amadou Onana
- 27Morgan Rogers
- 22Ian Maatsen
Leeds United
- 26Karl Darlow
- 9Dominic Calvert-Lewin
- 6Joe Rodon
- 24James Justin
- 4Ethan Ampadu
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 11Brenden Aaronson
- 18Anton Stach
- 44Ilia Gruev
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Aston VillaLWLDW
Leeds UnitedWDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 1–2 Aston Villa2025-11-23
Match preview
Aston Villa host Leeds United in the Premier League on 21 February 2026. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Aston Villa have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLDW), while Leeds United have won 2 of 5 (WDLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, Leeds United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
