FTMatchday 22

Aston Villa vs Everton: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Aston Villa0

Everton1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Aston VillaEverton

John McGinnon18'
23'Dwight McNeilyellow card
47'James Garneryellow card
Lamare Bogardeyellow card56'
59'Thierno Barry
Ian Maatsenon73'
Lamare Bogardeon73'
84'Thierno Barryon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaEverton

63%Possession37%
1.36Expected goals (xG)0.56
18Shots9
5Shots on target3
6Corners4
15Fouls13
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides4
2Saves5
490Passes283

Line-ups

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
10Emiliano Buendia
8Youri Tielemans
11Ollie Watkins
7John McGinn
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
14Pau Torres
27Morgan Rogers
22Ian Maatsen
26Lamare Bogarde

Everton

18Jack Grealish
1Jordan Pickford
6James Tarkowski
7Dwight McNeil
37James Garner
16Vitaliy Mykolenko
2Nathan Patterson
34Merlin Röhl
15Jake O'Brien
11Thierno Barry
45Harrison Armstrong

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1501

Recent form

Aston VillaWWLWD

EvertonLDWLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Everton	38	-3	49

Head to head

Everton 0–0 Aston Villa2025-09-13

Match preview

Aston Villa host Everton in the Premier League on 18 January 2026. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Everton are 13th on 49. Aston Villa have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWD), while Everton have won 1 of 5 (LDWLD). In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Everton won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.