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FTMatchday 3

Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Aston VillaCrystal Palace
  1. Matty Cashyellow card13'
  2. Marco Bizotyellow card20'
  3. 21'Jean-Philippe Matetapenalty
  4. 22'Jean-Philippe Matetayellow card
  5. Evann Guessandon46'
  6. 52'Will Hughesyellow card
  7. 56'Adam Whartonon
  8. 68'Marc Guéhi
  9. 71'Will Hugheson
  10. Matty Cashon74'
  11. John McGinnon74'
  12. 78'Ismaïla Sarrassist Maxence Lacroix
  13. Donyell Malenon83'
  14. Ian Maatsenon84'
  15. 85'Jean-Philippe Matetaon
  16. 86'Daichi Kamadaon
  17. 87'Ismaïla Sarryellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaCrystal Palace
  • 58%Possession42%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)3
  • 13Shots6
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 10Corners1
  • 7Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 1Saves4
  • 524Passes384

Line-ups

Aston Villa

  • 5Tyrone Mings
  • 40Marco Bizot
  • 8Youri Tielemans
  • 11Ollie Watkins
  • 7John McGinn
  • 2Matty Cash
  • 4Ezri Konsa
  • 17Donyell Malen
  • 27Morgan Rogers
  • 22Ian Maatsen
  • 29Evann Guessand

Crystal Palace

  • 19Will Hughes
  • 1Dean Henderson
  • 7Ismaïla Sarr
  • 18Daichi Kamada
  • 14Jean-Philippe Mateta
  • 3Tyrick Mitchell
  • 5Maxence Lacroix
  • 26Chris Richards
  • 6Marc Guéhi
  • 2Daniel Muñoz
  • 20Adam Wharton

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1521

Recent form

Aston VillaDL
Crystal PalaceDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Aston Villa38+765
2Crystal Palace38-1045

Head to head

  • Crystal Palace 0–0 Aston Villa2026-01-07

Match preview

Aston Villa host Crystal Palace in the Premier League on 31 August 2025. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Crystal Palace are 15th on 45. Aston Villa have won 0 of their last 2 (DL), while Crystal Palace have won 0 of 2 (DD). In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Crystal Palace won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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