Kick-off · Sat, 24 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 33
Aston Villa vs Coventry City: Prediction
Aston Villa55%Home win
Coventry City55% Home win23% Draw22% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.84 – 1.07
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1456
Recent form
Aston VillaLWDWWCoventry CityLWWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
| 2 | Coventry City | 8 | -9 | 6 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
