Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Prediction
📍 Villa Park
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- ⚽Douglas Luizassist Leon Bailey2'
- Matty Cashyellow card32'
- 35'⚽João Pedroassist Malo Gusto
- 45'⚽João Pedroassist Enzo Fernández
- ⇄Matty Cashon46'
- 54'João Pedroyellow card
- 55'⚽Cole Palmerassist João Pedro
- Morgan Rogersyellow card58'
- 58'Enzo Fernándezyellow card
- ⇄Douglas Luizon63'
- ⇄Emiliano Buendiaon63'
- ⇄Leon Baileyon63'
- 64'⚽João Pedroassist Alejandro Garnacho
- Ollie Watkinsyellow card68'
- ⇄Ollie Watkinson72'
- 75'⇄Malo Gustoon
- 79'⇄Wesley Fofanaon
- 79'⇄Enzo Fernándezon
- 85'⇄Cole Palmeron
- 85'⇄João Pedroon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 43%Possession57%
- 0.78Expected goals (xG)3.60
- 9Shots15
- 4Shots on target8
- 3Corners8
- 10Fouls9
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides2
- 4Saves3
- 431Passes565
Line-ups
Aston Villa
- 23Emiliano Martinez
- 5Tyrone Mings
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 21Douglas Luiz
- 2Matty Cash
- 4Ezri Konsa
- 31Leon Bailey
- 24Amadou Onana
- 27Morgan Rogers
- 22Ian Maatsen
Chelsea
- 20João Pedro
- 24Reece James
- 29Wesley Fofana
- 23Trevoh Chalobah
- 27Malo Gusto
- 25Moisés Caicedo
- 10Cole Palmer
- 8Enzo Fernández
- 49Alejandro Garnacho
- 12Filip Jörgensen
- 21Jorrel Hato
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Aston VillaLDWDL
ChelseaWWDDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 38 | +6 | 52 |
Head to head
- Chelsea 1–2 Aston Villa2025-12-27
Match preview
Aston Villa host Chelsea in the Premier League on 4 March 2026. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Aston Villa have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWDL), while Chelsea have won 2 of 5 (WWDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 1, Chelsea won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
