Kick-off · Sat, 10 Apr, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 31
Aston Villa vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction
Aston Villa40%Home win
Brighton and Hove Albion40% Home win25% Draw35% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.46 – 1.34
Team rating (Elo)1541 – 1535
Recent form
Aston VillaDWWWWBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 4–0 Aston Villa2026-08-23
- Aston Villa 1–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2026-02-11
- Brighton and Hove Albion 3–4 Aston Villa2025-12-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
