FTMatchday 24

Aston Villa vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Aston Villa0

Brentford1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Aston VillaBrentford

35'Kristoffer Ajeryellow card
42'Kevin Schadered card
45'Michael Kayodeyellow card
45'Dango Ouattara
Lamare Bogardeon46'
60'Dango Ouattaraon
60'Jordan Hendersonon
76'Mathias Jensenon
Jadon Sanchoon77'
84'Rico Henryon
90'Vitaly Janeltyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaBrentford

72%Possession28%
1.98Expected goals (xG)0.53
27Shots6
5Shots on target2
12Corners1
8Fouls8
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
1Offsides6
0Saves5
635Passes255

Line-ups

Aston Villa

23Emiliano Martinez
10Emiliano Buendia
18Tammy Abraham
21Douglas Luiz
2Matty Cash
4Ezri Konsa
19Jadon Sancho
14Pau Torres
27Morgan Rogers
22Ian Maatsen
26Lamare Bogarde

Brentford

6Jordan Henderson
3Rico Henry
20Kristoffer Ajer
4Sepp van den Berg
1Caoimhín Kelleher
8Mathias Jensen
27Vitaly Janelt
7Kevin Schade
19Dango Ouattara
33Michael Kayode
9Igor Thiago

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1541

Recent form

Aston VillaLWDLW

BrentfordDWWLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Aston Villa	38	+7	65
2	Brentford	38	+3	53

Head to head

Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford2026-10-10
Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa2025-08-23

Match preview

Aston Villa host Brentford in the Premier League on 1 February 2026. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Aston Villa have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDLW), while Brentford have won 2 of 5 (DWWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Brentford won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.