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FTMatchday 11

Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Aston VillaBournemouth
  1. 10'Adam Smithon
  2. Morgan Rogersyellow card13'
  3. Boubacar Kamarayellow card23'
  4. 27'Álex Jiménezyellow card
  5. Emiliano Buendia28'
  6. 38'Adrien Truffertyellow card
  7. Amadou Onana40'
  8. 46'Amadou Onanaon
  9. 63'Alex Scotton
  10. 63'Adrien Trufferton
  11. 63'Justin Kluiverton
  12. Emiliano Buendiaon71'
  13. John McGinnon71'
  14. Amadou Onanaon71'
  15. 77'Evanilsonon
  16. Ross Barkleyassist Lucas Digne77'
  17. Ollie Watkinson81'
  18. Boubacar Kamaraon81'
  19. Donyell Malenassist Youri Tielemans82'
  20. Morgan Rogerson86'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaBournemouth
  • 52%Possession48%
  • 1.70Expected goals (xG)1.61
  • 16Shots12
  • 8Shots on target3
  • 6Corners9
  • 8Fouls20
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 3Saves4
  • 346Passes316

Line-ups

Aston Villa

  • 23Emiliano Martinez
  • 10Emiliano Buendia
  • 12Lucas Digne
  • 11Ollie Watkins
  • 7John McGinn
  • 2Matty Cash
  • 4Ezri Konsa
  • 14Pau Torres
  • 44Boubacar Kamara
  • 24Amadou Onana
  • 27Morgan Rogers

Bournemouth

  • 15Adam Smith
  • 19Justin Kluivert
  • 24Antoine Semenyo
  • 12Tyler Adams
  • 5Marcos Senesi
  • 9Evanilson
  • 3Adrien Truffert
  • 16Marcus Tavernier
  • 8Alex Scott
  • 1Đorđe Petrović
  • 44Veljko Milosavljevic

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1482

Recent form

Aston VillaWWWWL
BournemouthDWDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Aston Villa38+765
2Bournemouth38+457

Head to head

  • Bournemouth 1–1 Aston Villa2026-02-07

Match preview

Aston Villa host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 9 November 2025. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Bournemouth are 6th on 57. Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), while Bournemouth have won 2 of 5 (DWDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Bournemouth won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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