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FTMatchday 15

Aston Villa vs Arsenal: Prediction

📍 Villa Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Aston VillaArsenal
  1. Matty Cash36'
  2. 46'Eberechi Ezeon
  3. 46'Mikel Merinoon
  4. 52'Leandro Trossard
  5. Ollie Watkinson66'
  6. 72'Riccardo Calafioriyellow card
  7. 74'Bukayo Sakayellow card
  8. Amadou Onanaon75'
  9. John McGinnon75'
  10. 79'Bukayo Sakaon
  11. Pau Torreson86'
  12. 86'Riccardo Calafiorion
  13. 86'Riccardo Calafiorion
  14. Matty Cashon87'
  15. Emiliano Buendiaassist Boubacar Kamara90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Aston VillaArsenal
  • 47%Possession53%
  • 2.16Expected goals (xG)1.92
  • 15Shots15
  • 6Shots on target9
  • 3Corners3
  • 10Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides3
  • 7Saves4
  • 397Passes443

Line-ups

Aston Villa

  • 23Emiliano Martinez
  • 8Youri Tielemans
  • 11Ollie Watkins
  • 7John McGinn
  • 2Matty Cash
  • 4Ezri Konsa
  • 14Pau Torres
  • 44Boubacar Kamara
  • 24Amadou Onana
  • 27Morgan Rogers
  • 22Ian Maatsen

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 8Martin Ødegaard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 4Ben White
  • 7Bukayo Saka
  • 10Eberechi Eze
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori
  • 5Piero Hincapié

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1526 – 1532

Recent form

Aston VillaLWWWW
ArsenalDWWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Aston Villa38+765

Head to head

  • Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal2026-08-31
  • Arsenal 4–1 Aston Villa2025-12-30

Match preview

Aston Villa host Arsenal in the Premier League on 6 December 2025. Aston Villa sit 4th on 65 points and Arsenal are 1st on 85. Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Arsenal have won 3 of 5 (DWWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Aston Villa won 0, Arsenal won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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