Kick-off · Sat, 1 May, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 34
Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur: Prediction
Arsenal69%Home win
Tottenham Hotspur69% Home win18% Draw13% Away win
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.26 – 0.87
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1463
Recent form
ArsenalWLWWWTottenham HotspurDLDWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | -2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Tottenham Hotspur 1–4 Arsenal2026-02-22
- Arsenal 4–1 Tottenham Hotspur2025-11-23
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
