FTMatchday 12

Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur: Prediction

📍 Emirates Stadium

Arsenal4

Tottenham Hotspur1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

ArsenalTottenham Hotspur

32'Rodrigo Bentancuryellow card
Leandro Trossardassist Mikel Merino36'
Eberechi Ezeassist Declan Rice41'
46'Kevin Dansoon
Eberechi Ezeassist Jurrien Timber46'
55'Richarlisonassist Joao Palhinha
66'Wilson Odoberton
66'Rodrigo Bentancuron
70'Cristian Romeroyellow card
Eberechi Ezeassist Leandro Trossard76'
Leandro Trossardon78'
78'Mohammed Kuduson
78'Djed Spenceon
Declan Riceyellow card87'
87'Pedro Porroyellow card
Piero Hincapiéon88'
Mikel Merinoon88'
Riccardo Calafiorion90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ArsenalTottenham Hotspur

57%Possession43%
2Expected goals (xG)0
17Shots3
8Shots on target2
4Corners1
11Fouls15
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Offsides1
1Saves4
442Passes326

Line-ups

Arsenal

1David Raya
19Leandro Trossard
41Declan Rice
23Mikel Merino
7Bukayo Saka
10Eberechi Eze
2William Saliba
12Jurrien Timber
36Martín Zubimendi
33Riccardo Calafiori
5Piero Hincapié

Tottenham Hotspur

9Richarlison
30Rodrigo Bentancur
6Joao Palhinha
17Cristian Romero
4Kevin Danso
1Guglielmo Vicario
24Djed Spence
20Mohammed Kudus
13Destiny Udogie
37Micky van de Ven
28Wilson Odobert

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1504

Recent form

ArsenalWWWWD

Tottenham HotspurWLLWD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	+44	85
2	Tottenham Hotspur	38	-9	41

Head to head

Tottenham Hotspur 1–4 Arsenal2026-02-22

Match preview

Arsenal host Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on 23 November 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Tottenham Hotspur are 17th on 41. Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWD), while Tottenham Hotspur have won 2 of 5 (WLLWD). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Tottenham Hotspur won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.