Arsenal vs Newcastle United: Prediction
📍 Emirates Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- ⚽Eberechi Ezeassist Kai Havertz9'
- ⇄Kai Havertzon34'
- ⇄Eberechi Ezeon53'
- 57'Dan Burnyellow card
- 66'⇄Jacob Murphyon
- 66'⇄William Daugaard Osulaon
- Gabriel Martinelliyellow card71'
- 74'Nick Popeyellow card
- 75'⇄Bruno Guimarãeson
- ⇄Martín Zubimendion81'
- ⇄Noni Maduekeon81'
- Declan Riceyellow card86'
- 86'⇄Joe Willockon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 0.64Expected goals (xG)0.92
- 11Shots12
- 4Shots on target3
- 7Corners1
- 12Fouls10
- 2Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 3Saves3
- 391Passes457
Line-ups
Arsenal
- 1David Raya
- 8Martin Ødegaard
- 41Declan Rice
- 4Ben White
- 29Kai Havertz
- 20Noni Madueke
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 10Eberechi Eze
- 2William Saliba
- 36Martín Zubimendi
- 5Piero Hincapié
Newcastle United
- 23Jacob Murphy
- 33Dan Burn
- 1Nick Pope
- 8Sandro Tonali
- 4Sven Botman
- 28Joe Willock
- 39Bruno Guimarães
- 41Jacob Ramsey
- 12Malick Thiaw
- 67Lewis Miley
- 18William Daugaard Osula
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ArsenalWWWLL
Newcastle UnitedWWLLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 38 | -2 | 49 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 1–2 Arsenal2025-09-28
Match preview
Arsenal host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 25 April 2026. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 49. Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL), while Newcastle United have won 2 of 5 (WWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Newcastle United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
