Kick-off · Sat, 19 Dec, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 16
Arsenal vs Manchester United: Prediction
Arsenal62%Home win
Manchester United62% Home win21% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.02 – 0.97
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1502
Recent form
ArsenalWWWDWManchester UnitedDLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 8 | -3 | 7 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–3 Manchester United2026-01-25
- Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal2025-08-17
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
