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FTMatchday 23

Arsenal vs Manchester United: Prediction

📍 Emirates Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
ArsenalManchester United
  1. Lisandro Martínezown goal29'
  2. 37'Bryan Mbeumo
  3. 50'Patrick Dorguassist Bruno Fernandes
  4. Piero Hincapiéon58'
  5. Martín Zubimendion58'
  6. Gabriel Jesuson58'
  7. Martin Ødegaardon58'
  8. Declan Riceyellow card64'
  9. 69'Bryan Mbeumoon
  10. Leandro Trossardon75'
  11. 81'Patrick Dorguon
  12. Mikel Merino84'
  13. 87'Matheus Cunhaassist Kobbie Mainoo
  14. 88'Amad Dialloon
  15. Eberechi Ezeyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ArsenalManchester United
  • 56%Possession44%
  • 1.19Expected goals (xG)0.71
  • 15Shots10
  • 4Shots on target3
  • 9Corners2
  • 11Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 0Saves3
  • 443Passes364

Line-ups

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 19Leandro Trossard
  • 8Martin Ødegaard
  • 9Gabriel Jesus
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 7Bukayo Saka
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 2William Saliba
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 5Piero Hincapié

Manchester United

  • 23Luke Shaw
  • 5Harry Maguire
  • 18Casemiro
  • 8Bruno Fernandes
  • 2Diogo Dalot
  • 6Lisandro Martínez
  • 16Amad Diallo
  • 19Bryan Mbeumo
  • 31Senne Lammens
  • 13Patrick Dorgu
  • 37Kobbie Mainoo

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1653 – 1518

Recent form

ArsenalWWWDD
Manchester UnitedWDDDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Manchester United38+1971

Head to head

  • Manchester United 0–1 Arsenal2025-08-17

Match preview

Arsenal host Manchester United in the Premier League on 25 January 2026. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Manchester United are 3rd on 71. Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWDD), while Manchester United have won 2 of 5 (WDDDW). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Manchester United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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