Arsenal vs Manchester City: Prediction
📍 Emirates Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 9'⚽Erling Haalandassist Tijjani Reijnders
- 36'Bernardo Silvayellow card
- Jurrien Timberyellow card46'
- ⇄Mikel Merinoon46'
- ⇄Noni Maduekeon46'
- 46'⇄Abduqodir Khusanovon
- 68'⇄Phil Fodenon
- 76'⇄Erling Haalandon
- 77'Gianluigi Donnarummayellow card
- ⇄Jurrien Timberon80'
- ⇄Leandro Trossardon84'
- 87'⇄Nico O'Reillyon
- 87'⇄Jérémy Dokuon
- ⇄Martín Zubimendion90'
- ⚽Gabriel Martinelliassist Eberechi Eze90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 67%Possession33%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 12Shots5
- 3Shots on target3
- 11Corners1
- 11Fouls10
- 1Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides2
- 2Saves2
- 581Passes295
Line-ups
Arsenal
- 1David Raya
- 19Leandro Trossard
- 41Declan Rice
- 23Mikel Merino
- 20Noni Madueke
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 2William Saliba
- 12Jurrien Timber
- 36Martín Zubimendi
- 14Viktor Gyökeres
- 33Riccardo Calafiori
Manchester City
- 20Bernardo Silva
- 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
- 3Ruben Dias
- 47Phil Foden
- 16Rodri
- 9Erling Haaland
- 4Tijjani Reijnders
- 11Jérémy Doku
- 24Joško Gvardiol
- 45Abduqodir Khusanov
- 33Nico O'Reilly
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ArsenalWWLWW
Manchester CityWLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | +42 | 78 |
Head to head
- Manchester City 2–1 Arsenal2026-04-19
Match preview
Arsenal host Manchester City in the Premier League on 21 September 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Manchester City are 2nd on 78. Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Manchester City have won 3 of 5 (WLLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 0, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
