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FTMatchday 21

Arsenal vs Liverpool: Prediction

📍 Emirates Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
ArsenalLiverpool
  1. Leandro Trossardyellow card12'
  2. Piero Hincapiéon57'
  3. Viktor Gyökereson64'
  4. Leandro Trossardon64'
  5. Martin Ødegaardon78'
  6. Bukayo Sakaon78'
  7. Gabriel Martinelliyellow card90'
  8. 90'Ibrahima Konateyellow card
  9. 90'Alexis Mac Allisteryellow card
  10. 90'Conor Bradleyon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ArsenalLiverpool
  • 48%Possession52%
  • 0.45Expected goals (xG)0.36
  • 9Shots8
  • 4Shots on target0
  • 3Corners0
  • 10Fouls9
  • 2Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides1
  • 0Saves4
  • 457Passes506

Line-ups

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 19Leandro Trossard
  • 8Martin Ødegaard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 7Bukayo Saka
  • 6Gabriel Magalhães
  • 2William Saliba
  • 12Jurrien Timber
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 14Viktor Gyökeres
  • 5Piero Hincapié

Liverpool

  • 4Virgil van Dijk
  • 1Alisson Becker
  • 5Ibrahima Konate
  • 18Cody Gakpo
  • 10Alexis Mac Allister
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 8Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 7Florian Wirtz
  • 30Jeremie Frimpong
  • 12Conor Bradley
  • 6Milos Kerkez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1488

Recent form

ArsenalWWWWW
LiverpoolWWWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Liverpool38+1060

Head to head

  • Liverpool 0–1 Arsenal2026-11-01
  • Liverpool 1–0 Arsenal2025-08-31

Match preview

Arsenal host Liverpool in the Premier League on 8 January 2026. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Liverpool are 5th on 60. Arsenal have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Liverpool have won 3 of 5 (WWWDD). In their last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Liverpool won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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