Arsenal vs Leeds United: Prediction
📍 Emirates Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- 9'Jayden Bogleyellow card
- ⚽Jurrien Timberassist Declan Rice34'
- ⇄Martin Ødegaardon38'
- ⚽Bukayo Sakaassist Jurrien Timber45'
- ⚽Viktor Gyökeresassist Riccardo Calafiori48'
- ⇄Bukayo Sakaon53'
- ⚽Jurrien Timberassist Riccardo Calafiori56'
- 58'⇄Ao Tanakaon
- 58'⇄Joël Piroeon
- ⇄Noni Maduekeon64'
- ⇄Riccardo Calafiorion64'
- ⇄Jurrien Timberon64'
- 66'⇄Degnand Gnontoon
- 66'⇄Daniel Jameson
- 80'Gabriel Gudmundssonyellow card
- 83'⇄Jayden Bogleon
- ⚽Viktor Gyökerespenalty90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 68%Possession32%
- 3Expected goals (xG)0
- 18Shots3
- 5Shots on target1
- 2Corners2
- 8Fouls11
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides0
- 1Saves0
- 594Passes279
Line-ups
Arsenal
- 1David Raya
- 8Martin Ødegaard
- 41Declan Rice
- 7Bukayo Saka
- 20Noni Madueke
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 2William Saliba
- 12Jurrien Timber
- 36Martín Zubimendi
- 14Viktor Gyökeres
- 33Riccardo Calafiori
Leeds United
- 6Joe Rodon
- 7Daniel James
- 3Gabriel Gudmundsson
- 5Pascal Struijk
- 2Jayden Bogle
- 18Anton Stach
- 44Ilia Gruev
- 22Ao Tanaka
- 10Joël Piroe
- 29Degnand Gnonto
- 1Lucas Perri
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ArsenalW
Leeds UnitedW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Leeds United | 38 | -7 | 47 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–1 Leeds United2026-10-10
- Leeds United 0–4 Arsenal2026-01-31
Match preview
Arsenal host Leeds United in the Premier League on 23 August 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Leeds United are 14th on 47. Arsenal have won 1 of their last 1 (W), while Leeds United have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 2, Leeds United won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
