Kick-off · Sat, 20 Feb, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 26
Arsenal vs Fulham: Prediction
Arsenal67%Home win
Fulham67% Home win19% Draw14% Away win
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.19 – 0.89
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1483
Recent form
ArsenalWLWWWFulhamDDLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Fulham | 8 | -2 | 8 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 3–0 Fulham2026-05-02
- Fulham 0–1 Arsenal2025-10-18
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
