FTMatchday 8
Arsenal vs Everton: Prediction
Arsenal2–0
EvertonNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1482
Recent form
ArsenalWWLWWEvertonDDWDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–0 Everton2026-03-14
- Everton 0–1 Arsenal2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
