Kick-off · Thu, 4 Mar, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 28
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: Prediction
Arsenal71%Home win
Crystal Palace71% Home win17% Draw12% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.36 – 0.83
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1434
Recent form
ArsenalWLWWWCrystal PalaceLDWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 8 | -10 | 7 |
Head to head
- Crystal Palace 1–2 Arsenal2026-05-24
- Arsenal 1–0 Crystal Palace2025-10-26
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
