Arsenal vs Chelsea: Prediction
📍 Emirates Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽William Salibaassist Gabriel Magalhães21'
- 45'⚽Piero Hincapiéown goal
- ⇄Leandro Trossardon56'
- 59'Cole Palmeryellow card
- 65'Jorrel Hatoyellow card
- ⚽Jurrien Timberassist Declan Rice66'
- 67'Pedro Netoyellow card
- 70'Pedro Netoyellow card
- 70'Pedro Netored card
- Gabriel Magalhãesyellow card75'
- 75'⇄Andrey Santoson
- 75'⇄Jorrel Hatoon
- ⇄Viktor Gyökereson76'
- ⇄Declan Riceon76'
- 79'Enzo Fernándezyellow card
- 86'⇄Enzo Fernándezon
- 86'⇄Cole Palmeron
- 90'⇄Mamadou Sarron
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 41%Possession59%
- 1.09Expected goals (xG)1.07
- 12Shots9
- 5Shots on target3
- 5Corners10
- 11Fouls14
- 1Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards1
- 0Offsides1
- 4Saves3
- 338Passes482
Line-ups
Arsenal
- 1David Raya
- 19Leandro Trossard
- 41Declan Rice
- 7Bukayo Saka
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 10Eberechi Eze
- 2William Saliba
- 12Jurrien Timber
- 36Martín Zubimendi
- 14Viktor Gyökeres
- 5Piero Hincapié
Chelsea
- 1Robert Sanchez
- 20João Pedro
- 24Reece James
- 7Pedro Neto
- 23Trevoh Chalobah
- 25Moisés Caicedo
- 10Cole Palmer
- 17Andrey Santos
- 8Enzo Fernández
- 21Jorrel Hato
- 19Mamadou Sarr
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ArsenalWWDDW
ChelseaWWWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Chelsea | 38 | +6 | 52 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea2026-09-06
- Chelsea 1–1 Arsenal2025-11-30
Match preview
Arsenal host Chelsea in the Premier League on 1 March 2026. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDDW), while Chelsea have won 3 of 5 (WWWDD). In their last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Chelsea won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
