Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 38
Arsenal vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction
Arsenal58%Home win
Brighton and Hove Albion58% Home win22% Draw20% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.90 – 1.03
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1565
Recent form
ArsenalWWWDWBrighton and Hove AlbionWWWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Brighton and Hove Albion | 8 | +16 | 16 |
Head to head
- Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Arsenal2026-09-19
- Brighton and Hove Albion 0–1 Arsenal2026-03-04
- Arsenal 2–1 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-12-27
- Arsenal 2–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-10-29
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
