FTMatchday 18

Arsenal vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Prediction

📍 Emirates Stadium

Arsenal2

Brighton and Hove Albion1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

ArsenalBrighton and Hove Albion

Martin Ødegaardassist Bukayo Saka14'
45'Bart Verbruggenyellow card
46'Brajan Grudaon
46'Maxim Cuyperon
50'Lewis Dunkyellow card
Georginio Rutterown goal52'
56'Diego Coppolayellow card
64'Diego Gómez
Myles Lewis-Skellyyellow card69'
Viktor Gyökereson71'
Myles Lewis-Skellyon71'
75'Jack Hinshelwoodon
Leandro Trossardon82'
87'Diego Coppolaon
87'Diego Gómezon
Piero Hincapiéyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ArsenalBrighton and Hove Albion

53%Possession47%
3Expected goals (xG)1
24Shots8
6Shots on target3
7Corners2
7Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Offsides1
2Saves5
450Passes407

Line-ups

Arsenal

1David Raya
19Leandro Trossard
8Martin Ødegaard
41Declan Rice
23Mikel Merino
7Bukayo Saka
2William Saliba
36Martín Zubimendi
14Viktor Gyökeres
5Piero Hincapié
49Myles Lewis-Skelly

Brighton and Hove Albion

5Lewis Dunk
10Georginio Rutter
29Maxim Cuyper
1Bart Verbruggen
24Ferdi Kadıoğlu
42Diego Coppola
6Jan Paul van Hecke
26Yasin Ayari
8Brajan Gruda
13Jack Hinshelwood
25Diego Gómez

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1535

Recent form

ArsenalDWLWW

Brighton and Hove AlbionWLDLD

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	38	+44	85
2	Brighton and Hove Albion	38	+6	53

Head to head

Brighton and Hove Albion 3–0 Arsenal2026-09-19
Brighton and Hove Albion 0–1 Arsenal2026-03-04
Arsenal 2–0 Brighton and Hove Albion2025-10-29

Match preview

Arsenal host Brighton and Hove Albion in the Premier League on 27 December 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Brighton and Hove Albion are 8th on 53. Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 (DWLWW), while Brighton and Hove Albion have won 1 of 5 (WLDLD). In their last 3 meetings, Arsenal won 2, Brighton and Hove Albion won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.