Kick-off · Wed, 6 Jan, 01:00 am ISTMatchday 20
Arsenal vs Brentford: Prediction
Arsenal63%Home win
Brentford63% Home win20% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.05 – 0.95
Team rating (Elo)1644 – 1523
Recent form
ArsenalWLWWWBrentfordDWDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Brentford | 8 | +5 | 11 |
Head to head
- Brentford 1–1 Arsenal2026-02-12
- Arsenal 2–0 Brentford2025-12-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
