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FTMatchday 14

Arsenal vs Brentford: Prediction

📍 Emirates Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
ArsenalBrentford
  1. Mikel Merinoassist Ben White11'
  2. Cristhian Mosqueraon44'
  3. 60'Kevin Schadeon
  4. Gabriel Martinellion61'
  5. Noni Maduekeon61'
  6. 61'Vitaly Janelton
  7. 61'Mathias Jensenon
  8. 65'Yehor Yarmolyukyellow card
  9. 74'Ethan Pinnockon
  10. 74'Rico Henryon
  11. Declan Riceon83'
  12. Bukayo Sakaassist Mikel Merino90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

ArsenalBrentford
  • 62%Possession38%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)0
  • 15Shots6
  • 7Shots on target1
  • 4Corners8
  • 7Fouls9
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 1Saves5
  • 542Passes333

Line-ups

Arsenal

  • 1David Raya
  • 8Martin Ødegaard
  • 41Declan Rice
  • 23Mikel Merino
  • 4Ben White
  • 11Gabriel Martinelli
  • 20Noni Madueke
  • 36Martín Zubimendi
  • 33Riccardo Calafiori
  • 5Piero Hincapié
  • 3Cristhian Mosquera

Brentford

  • 3Rico Henry
  • 5Ethan Pinnock
  • 20Kristoffer Ajer
  • 4Sepp van den Berg
  • 1Caoimhín Kelleher
  • 8Mathias Jensen
  • 27Vitaly Janelt
  • 7Kevin Schade
  • 19Dango Ouattara
  • 33Michael Kayode
  • 18Yehor Yarmolyuk

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1532 – 1541

Recent form

ArsenalWDWWD
BrentfordWLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal38+4485
2Brentford38+353

Head to head

  • Brentford 1–1 Arsenal2026-02-12

Match preview

Arsenal host Brentford in the Premier League on 3 December 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Brentford are 9th on 53. Arsenal have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWD), while Brentford have won 3 of 5 (WLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Arsenal won 0, Brentford won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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