Arsenal vs Aston Villa: Prediction
📍 Emirates Stadium
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- Mikel Merinoyellow card45'
- 45'Morgan Rogersyellow card
- 46'⇄Amadou Onanaon
- ⚽Gabriel Magalhães48'
- ⚽Martín Zubimendiassist Martin Ødegaard52'
- 61'⇄Emiliano Buendiaon
- 61'⇄Jadon Sanchoon
- ⚽Leandro Trossardassist Jurrien Timber69'
- ⇄Mikel Merinoon73'
- ⇄Viktor Gyökereson77'
- ⇄Gabriel Magalhãeson77'
- ⚽Gabriel Jesusassist Leandro Trossard78'
- Gabriel Jesusyellow card79'
- 81'Lamare Bogardeyellow card
- 82'⇄Youri Tielemanson
- 82'⇄Morgan Rogerson
- ⇄Jurrien Timberon83'
- ⇄Bukayo Sakaon83'
- 90'Ollie Watkinsyellow card
- 90'⚽Ollie Watkins
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 3Expected goals (xG)3
- 22Shots11
- 7Shots on target3
- 3Corners3
- 18Fouls9
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides0
- 2Saves3
- 351Passes416
Line-ups
Arsenal
- 1David Raya
- 19Leandro Trossard
- 8Martin Ødegaard
- 23Mikel Merino
- 7Bukayo Saka
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 2William Saliba
- 12Jurrien Timber
- 36Martín Zubimendi
- 14Viktor Gyökeres
- 5Piero Hincapié
Aston Villa
- 23Emiliano Martinez
- 10Emiliano Buendia
- 12Lucas Digne
- 8Youri Tielemans
- 11Ollie Watkins
- 3Victor Lindelof
- 4Ezri Konsa
- 19Jadon Sancho
- 24Amadou Onana
- 27Morgan Rogers
- 26Lamare Bogarde
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
ArsenalWLWWW
Aston VillaWWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 38 | +7 | 65 |
Head to head
- Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal2026-08-31
- Aston Villa 2–1 Arsenal2025-12-06
Match preview
Arsenal host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 30 December 2025. Arsenal sit 1st on 85 points and Aston Villa are 4th on 65. Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), while Aston Villa have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Arsenal won 1, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
