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FTMatchday 3

Arema vs Persik Kediri: Prediction

Arema1
FT
Persik Kediri1

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1495 – 1460

Recent form

AremaLWWWD
Persik KediriWLLLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Persik Kediri8-210
2Arema809

Head to head

  • Persik Kediri 3–2 Arema2026-05-03
  • Arema 2–1 Persik Kediri2026-01-11

Match preview

Arema host Persik Kediri in the Liga 1 Indonesia on 18 September 2026. Arema sit 11th on 9 points and Persik Kediri are 10th on 10. Arema have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWD), while Persik Kediri have won 2 of 5 (WLLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Arema won 1, Persik Kediri won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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