Kick-off · Tue, 4 May, 02:00 pm ISTMatchday 29
Arema vs Persija Jakarta: Prediction
Arema46%Away win
Persija Jakarta29% Home win25% Draw46% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.18 – 1.55
Team rating (Elo)1511 – 1631
Recent form
AremaDDLLWPersija JakartaWWLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija Jakarta | 7 | +11 | 18 |
| 2 | Arema | 7 | +2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Persija Jakarta 5–1 Arema2026-10-21
- Persija Jakarta 0–2 Arema2026-02-08
- Arema 1–2 Persija Jakarta2025-11-08
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
