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FTMatchday 1

Ararat-Armenia vs Riga FC: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1497

Recent form

Ararat-Armenia–
Riga FC–
#TeamPGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia6+19
2Riga FC2-13

Head to head

  • Riga FC 3–2 Ararat-Armenia2026-07-14

Match preview

Ararat-Armenia host Riga FC in the UEFA Champions League on 7 July 2026. Ararat-Armenia sit 12th on 9 points and Riga FC are 49th on 3. In their last 1 meetings, Ararat-Armenia won 0, Riga FC won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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