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FTMatchday 4

Ajax vs Galatasaray: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
AjaxGalatasaray
  1. Jorthy Mokioyellow card4'
  2. Anton Gaaeiyellow card38'
  3. Owen Wijndalon46'
  4. 46'Gabriel Saraon
  5. 59'Victor Osimhenassist Leroy Sane

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1446 – 1493

Recent form

AjaxLLL
GalatasarayLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Galatasaray5+19
2Ajax5-150

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Ajax host Galatasaray in the UEFA Champions League on 5 November 2025. Ajax sit 36th on 0 points and Galatasaray are 14th on 9. Ajax have won 0 of their last 3 (LLL), while Galatasaray have won 2 of 3 (LWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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