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FTMatchday 5

Ajax vs Benfica: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1446 – 1482

Recent form

AjaxLLLL
BenficaLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Benfica5-43
2Ajax5-150

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Ajax host Benfica in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2025. Ajax sit 36th on 0 points and Benfica are 30th on 3. Ajax have won 0 of their last 4 (LLLL), while Benfica have won 0 of 4 (LLLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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