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FTMatchday 3

AGF Aarhus vs Sabah Baku: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
AGF AarhusSabah Baku
  1. Frederik Tingageron29'
  2. 37'Veljko Simićyellow card
  3. 39'Joy-Lance Mickelsyellow card
  4. Jens Jonssonon46'
  5. 65'Kaheem Parrison

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1531

Recent form

AGF AarhusLW
Sabah BakuWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sabah Baku9+618
2AGF Aarhus4-36

Head to head

  • Sabah Baku 4–0 AGF Aarhus2026-08-11

Match preview

AGF Aarhus host Sabah Baku in the UEFA Champions League on 5 August 2026. AGF Aarhus sit 31st on 6 points and Sabah Baku are 1st on 18. AGF Aarhus have won 1 of their last 2 (LW), while Sabah Baku have won 4 of 4 (WWWW). In their last 1 meetings, AGF Aarhus won 0, Sabah Baku won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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