FTMatchday 8
Real Madrid vs Villarreal: Prediction
Real Madrid1–0
VillarrealNot enough past results yet.
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1557 – 1468
Recent form
Real MadridLWWWLVillarrealLLLWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid2026-01-24
- Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal2025-10-04
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
