Kick-off · রবি ১৪ ফেব, ০৯:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 24
Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction
Real Madrid66%Home win
Athletic Bilbao66% Home win20% Draw14% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.05 – 0.83
Team rating (Elo)1557 – 1483
Recent form
Real MadridWWWWWAthletic BilbaoDDDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 9 | +12 | 21 |
| 2 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | +5 | 12 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao2026-05-23
- Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid2025-12-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
