Kick-off · বৃহস্পতি ১১ ফেব, ০৭:০০ PM ISTMatchday 18
PSM Makassar vs Borneo Samarinda: Prediction
PSM Makassar45%Away win
Borneo Samarinda30% Home win25% Draw45% Away win
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.20 – 1.52
Team rating (Elo)1470 – 1582
Recent form
PSM MakassarDLWWDBorneo SamarindaWLWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borneo Samarinda | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 2 | PSM Makassar | 7 | -3 | 9 |
Head to head
- PSM Makassar 1–2 Borneo Samarinda2026-04-18
- Borneo Samarinda 2–1 PSM Makassar2026-01-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
