Kick-off · শনি ২৪ এপ্রি, ০৫:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 27
Persebaya Surabaya vs Borneo Samarinda: Prediction
Persebaya Surabaya43%Home win
Borneo Samarinda43% Home win26% Draw31% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.48 – 1.23
Team rating (Elo)1563 – 1582
Recent form
Persebaya SurabayaWDLWDBorneo SamarindaWLWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Borneo Samarinda | 6 | -1 | 9 |
Head to head
- Borneo Samarinda 5–1 Persebaya Surabaya2026-03-07
- Persebaya Surabaya 2–2 Borneo Samarinda2025-12-20
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
