Kick-off · বুধ ১০ ফেব, ০৭:০০ PM ISTMatchday 18
Persebaya Surabaya vs Arema: Prediction
Persebaya Surabaya53%Home win
Arema53% Home win24% Draw23% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.73 – 1.05
Team rating (Elo)1563 – 1511
Recent form
Persebaya SurabayaWDLWDAremaDDLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persebaya Surabaya | 8 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Arema | 7 | +2 | 9 |
Head to head
- Arema 0–4 Persebaya Surabaya2026-04-28
- Persebaya Surabaya 1–1 Arema2025-11-22
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
