FTMatchday 7
Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Prediction
Nottingham Forest0–1
ArsenalNot enough past results yet.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1465 – 1644
Recent form
Nottingham ForestDDWLLArsenalWWWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | -4 | 6 |
Head to head
- Nottingham Forest 0–0 Arsenal2026-01-17
- Arsenal 3–0 Nottingham Forest2025-09-13
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
