Kick-off · শনি ২০ মার্চ, ০৮:৩০ PM ISTMatchday 30
Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Prediction
Newcastle United42%Home win
Leeds United42% Home win25% Draw33% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.51 – 1.29
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1513
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +3 | 11 | |
| 2 | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Leeds United 4–1 Newcastle United2026-09-14
- Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds United2026-01-07
- Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United2025-08-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.