FTMatchday 7
Newcastle United vs Aston Villa: Prediction
Newcastle United0–1
Aston VillaNot enough past results yet.
Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1490 – 1518
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedWDLWLAston VillaLDLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | -3 | 11 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa2026-01-25
- Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United2025-08-16
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
