Kick-off · শনি ২১ নভেঃ, ১১:০০ PM ISTMatchday 11
Newcastle United vs Arsenal: Prediction
Newcastle United52%Away win
Arsenal24% Home win24% Draw52% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.13 – 1.74
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1644
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWArsenalWLWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle United2026-04-25
- Newcastle United 1–2 Arsenal2025-09-28
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
